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Netflix (NFLX, Neutral, $100 target) Light 1Q26 guidance and mixed engagement trends weigh on shares

What’s New: In our first take on tonight’s results, we dig into:
1. A mixed bag all around
2. Nothing particularly new on the WB deal
3. 1Q26 and 2026 guidance largely disappoints
4. Ad revenues finally disclosed, expected to double in 2026 to ~$3B
5. Buybacks paused to build cash for WB, bridge facility boosted
Underlying
Netflix Inc.

Netflix is engaged in subscription streaming entertainment service including TV series, documentaries and feature films across a variety of genres and languages. Members can watch as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, on any internet-connected screen. Members can play, pause and resume watching, without commercials. Additionally, several members in the United States subscribe to the company's DVD-by-mail service. The company improves its streaming content with a focus on a programming mix of content. The company's members can download a selection of titles for offline viewing. The company operates its business as a global operating segment.

Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

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Analysts
Dan Salmon

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