Report
Soomit Datta
EUR 9608.00 For Business Accounts Only

TIMS3 (Buy, TP: BRL23, +32%) VIVT3 (Buy, TP: BRL61, +26%) AMX (Buy, TP: $22, +32%) TIM Brasil (Buy) / Brazil Q2 wrap - Strong EBITDAaL beat at TIM / Market round up / Nubank MVNO latest Fintech-Telco offer

TIM Q2s: As with Claro and Vivo, TIM delivered a robust set of Q2 results. Both revenue and EBITDA beat consensus by ~1% though at EBITDAaL TIM outperformed with a +5% beat, supported by stable Leases compared to Q1. Service revenue maintained consistent growth in-line with previous quarters (~7% y/y) from faster postpaid, and maintained negative prepaid. H1 EBITDA (and revenue) continued to trend slightly above the FY24 guidance. Despite management’s confidence in achieving targets for the year, they have refrained from raising the guidance, anticipating slower growth in H2 (attributed tougher comps and a smaller postpaid price increase compared to FY23). The stock remains attractive on an 10.5% EFCF yield.

Brazil Q2 wrap including latest Fintech-Telco offer: All three operators delivered a strong performance in Brazil. Service revenue improved across the board, with Vivo leading the way (TIM closely followed). Some overhang remains on fixed broadband consolidation (more so Vivo than TIM) whilst Nubank’s MVNO launch has led to some concerns in the market which we briefly explore.
Underlyings
Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Analysts
Soomit Datta

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from New Street Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch