Report
Florent Laroche-Joubert

ODDO : Property groups are being tested by COVID-19

We estimate that net current cash flow per share for the property companies we cover will be reduced on average by -11.3% in 2020e and -6.0% in 2021e. Retail property companies are likely to be hit the hardest while office and healthcare property groups should prove more resilient. Our Top Picks against this backdrop are Gecina and Colonial in office property, Cofinimmo in healthcare property and Klépierre in retail property. We downgrade Merlin Properties from Buy to Neutral. - §...
Underlyings
Aedifica SA

Aedifica is a property company, which is specialized in residential real estate. Co.'s portfolio has a superstructure of more than 225,911 sq. m as of June 30 2010. It owns: residential or mixed buildings in Belgian cities with classical leases; buildings with furnished apartments buildings in the heart of Brussels with shorter term leases; senior houses and serviceflats with very long term and triple net leases; and hotels. Co. invests: in existing and already leased buildings; and in projects with future completion. Co.'s activities can be divided into four segments: Residential or mixed buildings; Furnished apartments buildings; Senior houses; and Hotels and others.

Altarea SCA

Altarea Cogedim is a real estate investment trust and development company. Co. is an active operator in the three main segments — retail, residential & office-hotels property — with the ability to design, develop, market & manage custom-tailored real estate products. In the Retail segment, Co. is active in real estate investment, development, asset management, providing services to third-party customers. In the Residential segment, Co. is a residential property developer. In the Office Property segment, Co. is a global operator active in all commercial property formats: high-rise buildings, business districts, corporate headquarters, renovation projects, green districts & luxury hotels.

Carmila SAS

Carmila SA, formerly Cardety SA, is a France-based company that operates in the real estate investment sector. The Company is primarily engaged in the acquisition, holding and managing of commercial real estate assets for lease. The Company's real estate assets include a supermarket under the ED brand in Forges-les-Eaux, a shopping center in Pau Lescar, a retail park in Mondeville, a shopping mall in Besancon Chalezeule, a building complex in Salaise-sur-Sanne and a business park project in Quetigny.

Cofinimmo SA

Cofinimmo is a fixed capital real estate investment trust. Co. specializes in rental property. Its core investment segments are office property and nursing and care institutions. The portfolio also includes a Distribution property networks segment. Most of Co.'s assets are in Belgium. The foreign part consists of nursing homes/ clinics and the MAAF agencies network in France and the Pubstone portfolio in the Netherlands. Co.'s operations are organized into four segments: Offices, Nursing homes/Clinics, Distribution property networks, and Public-Private Partnerships.

Covivio SA

Fonciere des Regions is a long-term real etaste investor with a focus on office assets. Co.'s portfolio includes investment properties and properties under development. Co. holds a range of real estate assets, to collect lease payments and benefit from appreciation in the assets held. Co.'s activities can be divided into five segments: Office Markets in France; Office Markets in Italy; Logistics; Business Premises; and Car Parks.

Gecina SA

Gecina is a rental real estate company. Co.'s purpose is to operate individual rental properties or group of properties located mainly in France. Co.'s properties include commercial assets (offices and retail outlets), residential assets, logistics assets, hotels and healthcare facilities. Co. is organized around two main sectors and one ancillary segment: Economic sector comprising the commercial segment (offices and retail outlets), the portfolio of logistics properties and of hotel buildings; Demographic sector comprising traditional residential units (housing units property holding), portfolio of students residences and of healthcare facilities; Ancilary segment of real estate services.

Icade SA

Icade is a property developer/real estate investment trust (REIT). Co. offers its clients and business partners a range of complementary products and expertise in the development, design, contracting, marketing, and administrative and technical management of their properties. Co.'s activities are segmented into three divisions: Property Investment, Property Development, and Services. Property Investment focuses especially energy, water, waste and carbon comprises significant properties; Property Development targets properties and operations whose service orders were launched during the year, and Services division manages office buildings and housing units on behalf of third parties.

Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI SA

Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI is engaged in the acquisition, construction, sale, disposal and lease of real estate and related activities, including car garages and parking lots, and the administration and management of real estate properties and land.

Klepierre SA

Klepierre specializes in the development, rental, and asset management of real estate properties in 13 Continental Europe countries. Co. also provides services to third party customers. Co.'s properties include shopping centers, office buildings and shops. It structures its operation into business segments and geographic regions: Shopping centers are structured into 6 operating segments, and the remaining two operating segments are Retail Assets and Office Buildings. As of Dec 31 2013, Co.'s portfolio comprised 91 centers in France/Belgium, 25 centers in Scandinavia, 35 centers in Italy, 76 centers in Spain/Portugal, 23 centers in Central Europe, and 6 centers in other countries.

Mercialys SA

Mercialys is a real estate company, specialized in the transformation and management of shopping centers. Co. manages a portfolio of 91 properties located throughout France at Dec 31, 2013. Co.'s assets are classified into three categories: large regional shopping centers (GLA of over 365,800 sq. m.), neighborhood shopping centers (GLA of over 181,600 sq. m.), and Other assets (40,900 sq. m.). At Dec. 31, 2013, the portfolio comprised 25 large regional shopping centers, 36 neighborhood shopping centers, and 18 other sites such as food stores, specialty stores, independent cafeterias, service malls, and convenience stores, representing a total gross leasable area of about 588,300 sq. m.

MERLIN Properties SOCIMI S.A.

Merlin Properties SOCIMI SA is a Spain-based company engaged in the operation of a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company focuses on the acquisition, management and rental of commercial properties located in the Iberian Peninsula, primarily in Spain. The Company's activities are divided into the following segments: Office buildings, operating a portfolio of office space; High-street retail, engaged in leasing retail stores; Shopping centers, engaged in managing department stores; Logistics, operating logistics warehouses and distribution centers, and Others. The Company's other activities include property management services rendered to third parties.

Societe Fonciere Lyonnaise SA

Societe Fonciere Lyonnaise purchases, renovates, develops, and manages urban properties in a real estate portfolio located primarily in Paris, France. Co. divides its operation into two segments: Property rental services & Sales. Co.'s geographic segments comprise: Paris Central Business District, comprising the Golden Triangle and the Financial District, spanning parts of the 1st, 2nd, 9th, 8th, 16th and 17th arrondissements of Paris; Western Crescent, located West of Paris on the other side of the Boulevard P?riph?rique ring-road, comprising Neuilly, Boulogne, Issy-les-Moulineaux and Levallois; and Others corresponding to the rest of Paris, outside the Central Business District.

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE Stapled Secs Cons of 1 Sh Unibail Rodamco + 1 Sh WFD Unib Rod

Unibail-Rodamco is a commercial property operator, investor and developer. Co. is operationally organized in six geographical regions: France, Spain, Central Europe, Austria, the Nordics and The Netherlands. Its activities are divided into three business lines or segments: Shopping Centres, Offices and Convention & Exhibition. Co.'s Shopping Centres segment focuses primarily on the retail sector; the Offices segment takes care of office assets that are mainly located in the Parisian Central Business District; and the Convention-Exhibitions segment consists of a real estate venues and operations organization, and trade show organization.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Florent Laroche-Joubert

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