Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Buyout deal, second in as many months, similar size (€660m). Flow Traders: Sticky digits. IMCD: Small but solid acquisition in India. Randstad: Preliminary preview of 2Q25F results due 23 July. UCB: Fintepla meets primary endpoint in CDKL5 Deficiency Disorder

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: FY24/25F set to be in line with recently revised guidance. Exor: In search of a €2bn deal. Flow Traders: Sell In May And Go Away. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex May 2025 box office revenue up 63% YoY, at 81% of 2019 level. Staffing: Dutch Period 5 - May vols up, strong pricing, working days/comps might distort. Staffing: French staffing - strong April data, May outlook also better

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: CMD – AI-first strategy, new medium-term targets. CVC Capital Partners: Good realisations. D'Ieteren: CMD feedback. Euronext: An even stronger April is Next. Flow Traders: Promising April. KBC: M&A in Slovakia, capital changes, beat in 1Q. Prosus: iFood partners with Uber. SBM Offshore: FY25 starts reasonably well, decarbonization gains momentum. Syensqo: Modest 1Q25 beat, +€1.4bn FY EBITDA guidance excludes FX, tariff impact

Negative signals for the US housing sector

Macro indicators for the construction sector, and the housing market in particular, have been poor recently. Homebuilders confidence has plummeted, housing sales and starts are stagnating at low levels. A sector so central to the economy appears to be frozen. President Trump has an idea for boosting the sector, and this would involve cutting Fed rates by 200-300bp in one fell swoop, in the hope of making the cost of mortgage borrowing bearable. His anti-Powell fury no doubt has something to do with this housing slump. It goes without saying that the Fed is not prepared to move that fast or th...

Oddo’s 2 Weeks Ahead_Friday 27 June 2025

Signaux négatifs pour le secteur immobilier US

Dernièrement, les indicateurs macro relatifs au secteur de la construction, en particulier le marché du logement, ont été mauvais. La confiance des promoteurs a chuté, les ventes et la production de logements stagnent à un bas niveau. Un secteur si central pour l’économie paraît gelé. Le président Trump a une idée pour lui redonner du tonus, ce serait de baisser les taux de la Fed de 200-300pdb d’un coup, dans l’espoir de rendre supportable le coût des emprunts immobiliers. Sa fureur anti-Powell a sans doute à voir avec ce marasme. La Fed n’est pas disposée à bouger si vite ni si fort il va sa...