INFORME DIARIO 27 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. El mercado de divisas, nuevo foco de atención Jornada mixta en las bolsas europeas, que cotizaron divididas con la vista puesta en el dólar y el nuevo retroceso que sufrió ayer, cayendo a mínimos de 2022. En el STOXX 600 R. Básicos e Industriales fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a las mayores caídas de Hogar y B. de Consumo (sectores con bastante exposición a dólar). Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. el PIB 1T’25 se revisó a la baja en la tercera lectura hasta el -0,5% t/ta desde el -0,3%, por menor dinamis...

IBERIAN DAILY 27 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. Spotlight now on the currency market It was a mixed session on European stock markets, which were a mixed bag with all eyes on the dollar and the drop it suffered yesterday, falling to a low since 2022. In the STOXX 600, Basic Materials and Industrials were the sectors rising the most, with Household Goods and Consumer Goods falling the most (sectors highly exposed to the USD). On the macro side, in the US the 1Q’25 GDP was lowered in its third reading to -0.5% QoQ from the previous -0.3% due to less dynamic private consumption. Durable Goods ord...

IBERIAN DAILY 23 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS, IAG, INDRA, NEINOR, OHLA. US attacks Iran The risk of a military intervention by the US in Iran weighed on the market last week, and the 2-week deadline decided by D. Trump calmed stock markets. However, the movement of the military arsenal continued in the Middle East area, and in the end the US launched a weekend air attack on 3 Iranian nuclear targets. In the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Energy saw the biggest gains last week vs. Pharma and Retail that ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the UK May’s retail sales came in worse than expected. In Germany, M...

Negative signals for the US housing sector

Macro indicators for the construction sector, and the housing market in particular, have been poor recently. Homebuilders confidence has plummeted, housing sales and starts are stagnating at low levels. A sector so central to the economy appears to be frozen. President Trump has an idea for boosting the sector, and this would involve cutting Fed rates by 200-300bp in one fell swoop, in the hope of making the cost of mortgage borrowing bearable. His anti-Powell fury no doubt has something to do with this housing slump. It goes without saying that the Fed is not prepared to move that fast or th...

Oddo’s 2 Weeks Ahead_Friday 27 June 2025

Signaux négatifs pour le secteur immobilier US

Dernièrement, les indicateurs macro relatifs au secteur de la construction, en particulier le marché du logement, ont été mauvais. La confiance des promoteurs a chuté, les ventes et la production de logements stagnent à un bas niveau. Un secteur si central pour l’économie paraît gelé. Le président Trump a une idée pour lui redonner du tonus, ce serait de baisser les taux de la Fed de 200-300pdb d’un coup, dans l’espoir de rendre supportable le coût des emprunts immobiliers. Sa fureur anti-Powell a sans doute à voir avec ce marasme. La Fed n’est pas disposée à bouger si vite ni si fort il va sa...