REN : A new framework for growth monetisation
We are upgrading our recommendation on REN to Outperform after the recent positive developments regarding the proposed remuneration for the next regulatory period in Electricity Transmission (6.43% effective rate of return vs current 5.5%) and the removal of the Special Tax on natural gas (€ 10m annual impact) and other favourable tax effects, which will materially improve REN’s normalised cash conversion rate (from 20% of EBITDA to c.40%). We raise our TP to € 3.8 (+40%: DCF, 9.7x implied EV/ EBITDA 2026e, 1.23x adj. RAB) and consider that its historical discount to the sector (25%) is no longer justified.Ren Redes Energeticas Nacionais is engaged in two principal lines of business: electricity transmission, where Co. owns and operates Portugal's national high-voltage electricity transmission network (the "RNT"), and natural gas, where Co. is engaged in the reception, storage and regasification of liquefied natural gas ("LNG"), the operation of the national high-pressure gas transmission network, which Co. owns and operates under respective concessions and the underground storage of natural gas. Co.'s electricity transmission business is conducted through its subsidiary REN - Rede Electrica, which holds a 50 year concession to operate the electricity transmission network in Portugal.
Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.
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