CAIXABANK: 4Q’19 RESULTS (ANÃLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
4Q'19 vs. 4Q'18 Results
N.I.I.: € 1.231 Bn (-0.4% vs. +0.3% expected and 0.0% expected by the market consensus);
Total Revenues: € 1.995 Bn (+6.9% vs. +2.6% expected and +3.2% expected by the market consensus);
Operating Profit: € 820.0 M (+19.7% vs. +6.4% expected and +8.6% expected by the market consensus);
Net Profit: € 440.0 M (+102.8% vs. +64.1% expected and +85.3% expected by the market consensus);
4Q'19 vs. 3Q'19 Results
N.I.I.: € 1.231 Bn (-0.9% vs. -0.2% expected and -0.5% expected by the market consensus);
Total Revenues: € 1.995 Bn (-7.9% vs. -11.6% expected and -11.0% expected by the market consensus);
Operating Profit: € 820.0 M (-16.0% vs. -25.3% expected and -23.8% expected by the market consensus);
Net Profit: € 440.0 M (-31.7% in 3Q'19 vs. -44.7% expected and -37.6% expected by the market consensus);
The company has presented 4Q’19 results with only one snag: the worse performance in NII. Lending fell -0.2% vs. 3Q’19, which along with the worse repricing (more negative Euribor) and the lower ALCO contribution justify the drop. However, growth in fee revenues (+5% vs. 3Q’19) was far higher than expected (+2% consensus), underpinned by the dynamic situation in the insurance business and in asset management. This has even allowed the bank to raise its growth rate in Core revenues (+1.2% vs. 2019), slightly above the guidance (+1%), which was in question until now (we and the consensus both expected growth of around +0.8%).
Likewise, cost-saving measures are bearing fruit, and costs were reduced by -1.3% in a quarter that is seasonally negative vs. 3Q’19 (vs. flat performance expected). Thus, CABK has met yet another of its 2019 targets: +3% growth in costs vs. 2018 (vs. +3.2% expected).
Provisions have been significantly cut and the CoR remains stable at 3Q’19 levels, i.e. 15bps (