CIE AUTOMOTIVE: 1Q’20 RESULTS (ANÃLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
1Q'20 vs. 1Q'19 Results:
Sales: € 822.0 M (+1.2% vs. -2.8% BS(e) and -0.8% consensus);
EBITDA: € 140.3 M (-7.1% vs. -18.1% BS(e) and -14.6% consensus);
EBIT: € 104.3 M (-7.6% vs. -24.7% BS(e) and -20.3% consensus);
Net Profit: € 72.6 M (0.0% vs. -20.5% BS(e) and -20.1% consensus).
The 1Q’20 results came in above expectations in EBITDA (around +13% vs. BS(e) and +9% vs. consensus) and slightly below in cash generation due to higher CAPEX and more working capital consumption than expected.
Sales performed better than expected, growing +1.2% vs. 1Q’19 (-2.8% BS(e) and -0.8% consensus), although CIE has not broken these results down into organic and inorganic growth, only providing the figure for the drop on the global market (-24.4%). That said, inorganic growth has obviously played an important role. Based on our inorganic growth estimates (+18% vs. 1Q’19 BS(e)), organic growth would have come in at -17%, easily beating the market. The EBITDA margin stood at 17.1%, far above expectations (15.7% BS(e) and 16.0% consensus), as it has only fallen -150bps vs. 1Q’19 and is +100bps above the company’s pro forma figure including the acquisitions made for the full year. Thus, EBITDA fell only -7.1% vs. 1Q’19 (-18.1% BS(e) and -14.6% consensus) to € 140 M.
Net debt reached € 1.68 Bn (2.5x normalised NFD/EBITDA) vs. € 1.51 Bn in Dec’19, affected by the acquisitions made over the period, which is slightly worse than our estimate (€ 1.65 Bn BS(e)) due to higher CAPEX and more working capital consumption than expected. In this regard, the company has announced that it has cash and undrawn lines totalling € 890 M vs. €~500 M of maturities in 2020.
In short, we expect the results to be well received by the market, even after the stock has outperformed the IBEX by +4% since 19/02 (index high before the Covid-19 impact). Currently the stock is up +6.5% vs. the IBEX. There is a conference call that began at 15:30 (CET). BUY. T.P. € 26.85/sh. (upside +87.11%).