Report

Sberbank

Aleksey Ryabushko ...

Andrew Keeley
Andrey Krylov
Mikhail Krasnoperov
Svetlana Sukhanova

10/10/2018 45 RU

Provider

Sberbank

Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

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Analysts

Aleksey Ryabushko

Andrew Keeley

Andrey Krylov

Mikhail Krasnoperov

Svetlana Sukhanova

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In its modern history, Russia has not suffered any major spikes in joblessness. Its unemployment rate has ranged from between 4.8% and 8.3% since 2005 (versus 3.6-9.9% in the US for the same period). However, considering the sectors currently affected and companies scaling down operations in Russia, we see 1.1 mln out of the total 71 mln jobs at risk. But because this comes amid a labor shortage, which emerged in late 2021, companies are aiming to hold on to personnel, while the government is announcing extra social support measures. In a conservative scenario, the unemployment rate could go u...

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Andrew Keeley ... (+3)

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In this note, we sum up a few thoughts on the current situation for Russia's banks.> Immediate pressure weathered... Since the initial brief depositor panic in late February, deposit flows have stabilized and even turned into net inflows as banks have hiked short-term deposit rates to around 20%, in line with the key rate.> ... and the CBR has experience of crises. The CBR is well versed in supporting the banking system through crises and has already made important moves in providing liquidity and capital forbearance. The banking sector recapitalization that we saw in 2008-09 and 2014-15 is no...

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Alisa Zakirova ... (+3)

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В центре внимания сегодня будут саммиты ЕС и НАТО. В частности, на них могут прокомментировать предложения России по расчетам за газ. Не исключено, что риторика в отношении России сегодня ужесточится. В этих условиях укрепление рубля вряд ли продолжится, и он останется около 96 за доллар.

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Russian Consumer - Unemployment and Income: The Outlook for 2022

Russian Banks - What We Know at This Stage

Валютный рынок и процентные ставки - 24 марта 2022. После резкого укрепления рубль возьмет паузу

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