Report
Andrew Keeley ...
  • Elena Tsareva

Russian Financials - I Get Knocked Down, But I Get Up Again...

Although the latest US sanctions action in early April may have raised the discount rate for Russian equities, we still see some buying opportunities within the financials space. Indeed, broadly speaking, one month on, not much has changed in our overall view. We make only one recommendation change: we upgrade Moscow Exchange to a BUY (TP: R145) on the gradual shift from being a no-growth story to a low-growth one amid the start of decent fee income growth momentum. Elsewhere, we remain believers that TCS Group can have a year that will top last year's heroic efforts (BUY; TP: $26). Likewise, we are still unconvinced on VTB (HOLD; TP: $2), even if there are some positive elements to the story. Finally, we stick with our BUY on Bank of St Petersburg (BUY; TP: R89) as its fundamentals are improving.
Underlyings
Bank of St Petersburg

Bank St Petersburg PJSC

Bank St. Petersburg OJSC is involved in commercial banking operations within the Russian Federation. Co. is organized into three main segments: Corporate banking, which includes settlement and current accounts, deposits, credit lines and loans; operations on financial markets, which includes financial instruments trading, loans and deposits on the interbank market, dealing in foreign exchange and derivative financial instruments; and retail banking, which provides private customer current accounts, deposits, retail investment products, custody, credit and debit cards, consumer loans, mortgages and other loans to individuals.

Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS PJSC

Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO. Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO (MMVB-RTS OAO) is a Russia-based integrated stock exchange that provides electronic trade organization, clearing and settlements on trades, depository and information services. The Company provides trading and settlement services in such segments of the financial market as foreign exchange (FX) market, federal bonds market, market of derivative financial instruments, cash equities market, corporate and regional fixed income market, commodities market, as well as market for state and municipal orders. The Company was established as a result of the merger between MMVB ZAO and RTS OAO. It operates through six branches and three representative offices. As of February 27, 2013, the Company's major shareholder was the Central bank of the Russian Federation with a stake of 22.47%. In January 24, 2014, the Company sold its whole stake in MMVB-IT ZAO.

TCS Group Holding Plc Sponsored GDR Class A RegS

TCS Group Holding is a retail banking services group based in the Russian Federation. Co. is principally engaged in providing retail banking services in the Russian Federation through its subsidiaries, primarily Tinkoff Credit Systems. Co., through this subsidiary, fully licensed by the Central Bank of Russia and a member of the Deposit Insurance System, specializes in credit cards. Co. provides online retail financial services through a branchless operating platform. Co. also offers remote access to its financial products and services through its online banking as well as through mobile banking and high-volume call centers.

VTB Bank (GDR)

VTB Bank PJSC

Bank VTB PAO is a Russia-based bank engaged in the provision of financial services. The Bank reports five segments: Corporate-Investment banking includes operations with corporate customers that are large business customers and banking financial institutions, as well as operations on the securities market; Mid-Corporate banking covers operations with medium business corporate customers; Retail business includes operations with individuals and small business corporate customers, and offers operations on Internet and mobile Point-of-Sale acquiring, plastic cards, payroll services and financial consulting, among others; Treasury comprises operations to manage liquidity, operations on financial and interbank markets, cash flow management and debit financing operation; as well as Other business includes two business: Construction and development involves operations undertaken by Company in the construction and development industry, and Other activities represent non-banking business.

Provider
Sberbank
Sberbank

​Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

Analysts
Andrew Keeley

Elena Tsareva

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