Report
Alex Fak ...
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Russian Oil and Gas. May 2018 - Tickling Giants

In this report we offer an alternative way of looking at Gazprom's strategy which much better explains the company's decisions. Using this inverted viewpoint, we deduce Gazprom's likely future investment program - never disclosed before - and suggest the way to play it is via the pipe producers. We also argue that Lukoil is trading at bargain levels, given the company's newfound commitment to capital discipline, and then suggest why market might take its time to bid up the stock.
Underlyings
Gazprom Neft (GDR)

NOVATEK JSC

Novatek is an independent gas producer and natural gas producer in Russia. Co. is engaged in the exploration, production, and processing of natural gas and liquid hydrocarbons. Co.'s upstream activities are concentrated in the Yamal-Nenets region, which is a natural gas producing area and accounts for a significant part of Russia's natural gas production. Co.'s three core fields are located in the regions of Yurkharovskoye, East Tarkosalinskoye and Khancheyskoye. Co. maintains natural gas reserves of approximately 1,144 bcm. Co.'s total net proved reserves totals around 8,088 million barrels of oil equivalent (boe).

NOVATEK JSC Sponsored GDR RegS

Oil company LUKOIL PJSC

PJSC Lukoil is a vertically-integrated oil company engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. Co. is engaged in all main sectors of the modern oil business including supplies, refining, marketing, transportation, petrochemicals and oil-related activities. Co.'s operations are divided into five business segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Marketing and Distribution; Chemicals; Power Generation and Other Business Segments. Co. owns and operates refineries in Bulgaria (LUKOIL Neftochim Bourgas AD) and Romania (Petrotel-LUKOIL).

Rosneft Oil Co.

OJSC OC Rosneft is a vertically-integrated Russian oil and gas company with upstream and downstream operations in each of Russia's oil-producing regions. Headquartered in Moscow, Co. operates ten oil and gas producing enterprises across Russia and is involved in over ten exploration projects. In addition to its upstream operations, Co. also owns two refineries, which have a combined capacity of 10 million tons per year, as well as four main oil export terminals and a nationwide network of over 600 service stations. Co.'s downstream operations consist of its crude oil export structure, refining operations and nationwide network of marketing subsidiaries.

Rosneft Oil Co. Sponsored GDR RegS

Surgutneftegas PJSC

Surgutneftegaz is vertically integrated oil company based in Russia. Co.'s activities include prospecting and exploration of hydrocarbons, oil and oil and- gas fields development and construction; oil products and petrochemicals manufacturing and marketing; power generation; gas processing and gas products marketing. Co.'s operations expand beyond Western Siberia in 3 oil production centers, two of which, in Eastern Siberia and Timano- Pechora, are to be built up within the next 3 years. Co. operates in 16 constituent territories of the Russian Federation from Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) to Kaliningradskaya Oblast. Co.'s mineral resource base comprises 134 license areas of 120,000 sq. km.

Surgutneftegas PJSC Pfd

TATNEFT (PREF A)

Transneft PJSC Pref.

Transneft is an oil pipeline group based in the Russian Federation. Co. and its subsidiaries operate a crude oil pipeline system totalling 50,142 km. Co. transport millions of tons of crude oil to domestic and export markets. Co. produces a substantial majority of the crude oil in the territory of the Russian Federation. In addition, Co., through Group Transnefteproduct operates an oil products pipeline system in the Russian Federation and in the Republics of Belarus and Ukraine totalling 18,746 km. Through its associate OOO LatRosTrans, Co. operates an interconnected system in the Latvian Republic.

Provider
Sberbank
Sberbank

​Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

Analysts
Alex Fak

Anna Kotelnikova

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