Sberbank - CIS Market Daily - 23 ÑÐ½Ð²Ð°Ñ€Ñ 2019

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Sberbank

Aleksey Ryabushko ...

Andrey Kuznetsov
Anton Stroutchenevski
Artem Vinogradov
Cole Akeson
Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - 23 ÑÐ½Ð²Ð°Ñ€Ñ 2019

23/01/2019 13 RU

Provider

Sberbank

Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

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Analysts

Aleksey Ryabushko

Andrey Kuznetsov

Anton Stroutchenevski

Artem Vinogradov

Cole Akeson

Rodion Lomivorotov

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In its modern history, Russia has not suffered any major spikes in joblessness. Its unemployment rate has ranged from between 4.8% and 8.3% since 2005 (versus 3.6-9.9% in the US for the same period). However, considering the sectors currently affected and companies scaling down operations in Russia, we see 1.1 mln out of the total 71 mln jobs at risk. But because this comes amid a labor shortage, which emerged in late 2021, companies are aiming to hold on to personnel, while the government is announcing extra social support measures. In a conservative scenario, the unemployment rate could go u...

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Andrew Keeley ... (+3)

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In this note, we sum up a few thoughts on the current situation for Russia's banks.> Immediate pressure weathered... Since the initial brief depositor panic in late February, deposit flows have stabilized and even turned into net inflows as banks have hiked short-term deposit rates to around 20%, in line with the key rate.> ... and the CBR has experience of crises. The CBR is well versed in supporting the banking system through crises and has already made important moves in providing liquidity and capital forbearance. The banking sector recapitalization that we saw in 2008-09 and 2014-15 is no...

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Anna Pilgunova ... (+3)

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> Oil continues to rise as CPC oil export terminal in Black Sea halts loadings and amid upbeat EIA report. In our view, Brent is likely to start stabilizing near $120/bbl today. Investors will be watching the EU-NATO summit in Brussels, where countries will discuss their ability to reduce their reliance on the Russian energy sector.> Gold advances as US Treasury yields slide. Gold rose from $1,920/oz to $1,945/oz yesterday, while the 10y US Treasury yield declined from 2.39% to 2.29%. Gold is trading near $1,940/oz as we write. Today, the market will be eyeing the preliminary March Markit PMIs...

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CIS Market Daily - 23 ÑÐ½Ð²Ð°Ñ€Ñ 2019

Russian Consumer - Unemployment and Income: The Outlook for 2022

Russian Banks - What We Know at This Stage

Commodities Daily - March 24, 2022

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CIS Market Daily - 23 ÑÐ½Ð²Ð°Ñ€Ñ 2019