Russian Gencos - Modernization on the Agenda
We have updated our valuation models for Inter RAO UES, Enel Russia, Unipro and RusHydro and reinitiated coverage of OGK-2, Mosenergo and TGK-1. We take into account their latest operating and financial results, as well as our new macro forecasts. In the next few years, the key factor for the financials will still be payments for new capacity built under capacity supply agreements (CSAs). This will entail varying performances for the different companies. We have two BUY recommendations: InterRAO UES and OGK-2. The other companies, meanwhile - RusHydro, Enel Russia, Unipro, Mosenergo and TGK-1 - have limited upside, and we have a HOLD on them.
PJSC Enel Russia is a wholesale generation company in Russia. Co.'s main areas of operation are production of power and heat, supply (sale) of power and heat, receipt (purchase) of power and heat from the wholesale power (capacity) market. Co. is active in four production branches around Russia: in the Ural region - Reftinskaya GRES, Sredneuralskaya GRES, in the northern Caucasus - Nevinnomysskaya GRES, and in Central Russia - Konakovskaya GRES. Co.'s aggregate installed capacity is 9,677 MW for power and 2,382 GCal/h for heat. Co. provides power and heat to both industrial enterprises and household consumers via local power distribution networks.
Inter RAO UES PJSC is a functioning operator of electricity exports and imports in the territory of Russia. Co. represents the interests of two Russian power sector participants: RAO UES of Russia and Rosenergoatom concern, which possess 60 and 40% of the shares respectively. Co. is engaged in arranging transboundary electricity supplies, to provide both domestic and foreign consumers with electric power. Co. is also engaged in pursuing effective investment activities. Co. is developing several areas of activity, including: electric power export and import supplies; electricity sales in home and foreign markets; investment activities; and foreign asset management.
Territorial Generating Company - 1 is a producer of electricity and heat energy in the North-West region of Russia. Co. incorporates generating enterprises from the Baltic Sea to the Barents Sea. Generated electricity is delivered to the domestic wholesale market of electricity and capacity as well as exported to Finland and Norway. Co. is a strategic supplier of heat energy in Saint Petersburg, Petrozavodsk, Murmansk, Kirovsk in the Leningrad Oblast, and Apatity in the Murmansk Oblast.
E.ON Russia is engaged in the wholesale electricity market, it produces and sells electric and heat power. As of Dec. 31, 2012, the structure of Co. includes five heat power plants with the total installed capacity of 10,345 MW/2,125.9 Gcal/h: Surgutskaya GRES-2 (Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Area, Tyumen Region), Berezovskaya GRES (Krasnoyarsk Territory), Shaturskaya GRES (Moscow Region), Smolenskaya GRES (Smolensk Region) and Yaivinskaya GRES (Perm Territory).
Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.
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