Report
Andrey Krylov ...
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov

Magnit - Again Looking to 2H for a Sales Turnaround

Magnit's 4Q17 EBITDA was 6% below our already low estimate. A supportive y-o-y base failed to stop revenue growth from slowing from 3Q17, while competition and cannibalization depressed the margins. We see headwinds persisting in 1H18 and fading in 2H18 from the effect of store renovations. We cut our EBITDA and EPS forecasts by 15% and 34% on average for the next three years, which takes our target price down to $26.50 per GDR. We retain our HOLD recommendation.
Underlyings
Magnit PJSC

Magnit is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in the retail and distribution of consumer goods under the Magnit name. Co.'s retail operations are operated through convenience stores, cosmetic stores, hypermarkets and other. Most of its stores are located in the Southern, Central and Volga regions. Co. also operates stores in the North-Western, North-Caucasian, Urals and Siberian regions. As of Dec. 31 2014, Co.'s stores chain consisted of 9,711 stores: 8,344 convenience stores, 190 hypermarkets, 97 Magnit Family stores and 1,080 drogerie stores in 2,108 cities and towns throughout the Russian Federation.

Magnit PJSC Sponsored GDR RegS

Provider
Sberbank
Sberbank

​Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

Analysts
Andrey Krylov

Mikhail Krasnoperov

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