Report
Andrew Keeley ...
  • Kirill Rogachev

Moscow Exchange - Marketplace Law Passes, but Without Biometry For Now

The CBR has published a statement saying that the "Law on Financial Marketplaces" has been approved by the Duma. The marketplace project is being undertaken by Moscow Exchange (MOEX) and represents an important element in its strategy through 2024 in terms of contributing to delivering around 10% annual fee income growth. The initial focus will be online retail deposits. While at first glance this looks like a much-awaited development, we note that the law does not incorporate single biometric log-in, which we think is a central tenet to the long-term success of the marketplace. It is expected to be addressed in a separate legislative package. > What is MOEX's marketplace concept? MOEX plans to launch an online financial supermarket to enable customers not only to compare various financial services products, but to buy (or open an account) online, done through API links to banks' online platforms. While the initial focus will be deposits, the longer-term plan is to roll out other financial services products such as bonds, mutual funds and insurance. MOEX sees 3-4% of its annual long-term 10% fee income growth target as coming from "more than exchange" initiatives, such as marketplaces. > First stop: retail deposit market. MOEX will begin with the big beast that is the retail deposit market, with media reporting that it will launch in October in 23 regions. Households have more than R31 trln in deposits, of which 70% are R700,000 or more, according to MOEX. MOEX aims for 5% of this pool to be opened through its marketplace, hence putting the potential market size for its new retail marketplace at R1 trln. MOEX plans to monetize this project through charging banks a small fee for deposits opened, with the service free to consumers, and it sees the long-term revenue potential in the billions of rubles. For example, if we assume about R34 trln retail deposits in 2022, and MOEX's marketplace having 3% market share (R1 trln), each 10 bp fee increment would imply about R1 bln fees, or around 3% of MOEX's 2022 fee income. MOEX has commented that previously a number of banks expressed interest in connecting to the marketplace, including top-10 names. > Interesting long-term project, but lack of biometry is a drawback. We think MOEX's retail marketplace has attractive features for both customers and participating banks, but in a very competitive market like retail deposits, and with online retail banking already well-established and participating banks possibly having to bear higher funding costs (though potentially saving on client acquisition costs), it is not going to be easy to grow revenues. We also think that having a single biometric sign-in that enables seamless management of accounts between banks is a core element of this service, and it is still not clear when this will feature. In the meantime, media reports suggest a work-around using couriers or representatives of banks (such as in branches) for one-time physical identification of clients, which could potentially add costs and friction to the process.
Underlying
Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS PJSC

Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO. Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO (MMVB-RTS OAO) is a Russia-based integrated stock exchange that provides electronic trade organization, clearing and settlements on trades, depository and information services. The Company provides trading and settlement services in such segments of the financial market as foreign exchange (FX) market, federal bonds market, market of derivative financial instruments, cash equities market, corporate and regional fixed income market, commodities market, as well as market for state and municipal orders. The Company was established as a result of the merger between MMVB ZAO and RTS OAO. It operates through six branches and three representative offices. As of February 27, 2013, the Company's major shareholder was the Central bank of the Russian Federation with a stake of 22.47%. In January 24, 2014, the Company sold its whole stake in MMVB-IT ZAO.

Provider
Sberbank
Sberbank

​Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

Analysts
Andrew Keeley

Kirill Rogachev

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