Sberbank - Polyus (GDR) (PLZL) ... Debt Markets Today - January 29, 2020

Report

Sberbank

Alexander Golinsky ...

Alexander Sychev
Alexey Bulgakov
Alexey Kirichok
Alisa Zakirova
Andrew Keeley
Anton Stroutchenevski
Artem Vinogradov
Ekaterina Sidorova
Irina Lapshina
Kirill Rogachev
Nikolay Minko
Rodion Lomivorotov
Vladimir Lezhnev
Yuri Popov

Debt Markets Today - January 29, 2020

CIS EUROBOND MARKETLong-dated paper fared the best yesterday among Russian sovereign Eurobonds. The Russia 43 rose 0.4 pp, while the Russia 42 and 47 added 0.3 pp.GOVERNMENT DEBTFollowing Monday's correction, the OFZ market began to recover yesterday morning as global markets stabilized. Yields eased 2-3 bps. However, Hong Kong announced it was closing its borders with mainland China, which sparked another wave of risk aversion and sent OFZ yields 5 bps higher. The situation calmed in the evening, and yields closed 1-3 bps lower in the 6y+ segment. Volumes came in at R29 bln.STORIES> Market color> Global markets recap> CIS Eurobond market> FX and money markets> Government debt

29/01/2020 42 EN

Underlyings

Polyus (GDR)

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US73181M1172 London Stock Exchange Russia

Polyus PJSC

PJSC Polyus is an open joint stock company based in Russia. Co. is engaged in operations as a gold production company. Co.'s major assets are: in Krasnoyarsk region, Olympiada deposit as well as Blagodantoe, Titimukhta, Tyrada, Olenii, Razdolinskaya, Zyryanovskaya and Panimba fields; in Irkutsk region, Zapadnoe, Verninskoe, Pervenets, and Chertovo Koryto and Mukodek goldfields as well as some 94 placer deposits; in Magadan region, Natalka deposit and smaller Degdekan and Vostochnoye fields; in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Kuranakh ore body and Kyutchus field as well as 50% interest in the giant Nezhdaninskoye field; and in Amur region, Bamskoe gold field.CJSC Deloitte & Touche CIS

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RU000A0JNAA8 Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS Russia

Provider

Sberbank

Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

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Analysts

Alexander Golinsky

Alexander Sychev

Alexey Bulgakov

Alexey Kirichok

Alisa Zakirova

Andrew Keeley

Anton Stroutchenevski

Artem Vinogradov

Ekaterina Sidorova

Irina Lapshina

Kirill Rogachev

Nikolay Minko

Rodion Lomivorotov

Vladimir Lezhnev

Yuri Popov

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HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: US macro - may be heading for 6% rates and recession • Shoper: 2Q22 adjusted EBITDA broadly in line with preliminary figure NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: sees increase in OSII buffer - cross-read for Bank Pekao • PKO BP: sees OSII hike to 200bps (up from 100bps) • Polyus: 1H22 financial results - in line with consensus EBITDA, further pressure ahead NEUTRAL • Short News (COTE, SNP, SNG)

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EME Equity Market – July 2022 Market performance – markets mostly up during the month, but Russia’s MOEX down 9.4% in EUR terms. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 2.3% mom in EUR, but lost 0.5% mom in USD in July. The Greek ASE Index was the best performing benchmark, advancing 5.0% mom in EUR. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 4.4% mom and 6.5% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Romania’s BET Index gained 1.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.3% mom in local currency, while Turkey’s ISE20 added 1.3% mom in EUR and as much as 5.8% mom in TRY. In Poland, the WIG20 Index remained more or less fl...

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In its modern history, Russia has not suffered any major spikes in joblessness. Its unemployment rate has ranged from between 4.8% and 8.3% since 2005 (versus 3.6-9.9% in the US for the same period). However, considering the sectors currently affected and companies scaling down operations in Russia, we see 1.1 mln out of the total 71 mln jobs at risk. But because this comes amid a labor shortage, which emerged in late 2021, companies are aiming to hold on to personnel, while the government is announcing extra social support measures. In a conservative scenario, the unemployment rate could go u...

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Debt Markets Today - January 29, 2020

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkey on top again, but muted this time around

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – US Macro; SHO PW; SPL PW; PEO PW; PKO PW; PLZL LI

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: markets mostly up in July, amid a rebound

Russian Consumer - Unemployment and Income: The Outlook for 2022

Russian Banks - What We Know at This Stage

CIS Market Daily - March 24, 2022

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