Report
Andrey Krylov ...
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov

X5 Retail Group - Closing Our Trade Idea

Having concluded that all of the headwinds and negative news flow had passed, in October we suggested buying X5 Retail Group. The trade idea delivered positive results: the stock advanced 6.7% to $35.21 per GDR, outperforming the RTS Index by 1.9 pp. We have decided to close our trade idea. That said, we remain upbeat on the company's long-term fundamentals and maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.INVESTMENT CASEIn October, we suggested buying X5 Retail Group, and the trade idea delivered good results. As we had expected, the stock advanced amid an absence of negative news flow. X5 remains the fastest growing listed food retailer in Russia, and we do not see any notable company-specific risks. The stock is trading at low multiples and also provides a 5.1% dividend yield. We remain upbeat on the company long-term. PERFORMANCE AND WHAT'S IN THE PRICESince we published our trade idea, the stock has advanced 6.7% to $35.21 per GDR, outperforming the RTS Index by 1.9 pp. We are closing our trade idea, as the stock price has risen. The performance in the near future is likely to be driven mainly by the overall stock market dynamics, though solid 4Q19 results could support the price. Our view on the company's long-term fundamentals remains positive, and we maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.
Underlyings
X5 Retail Group N.V. Sponsored GDR RegS

X5 Retail Group is a holding company. The main activity of Co. is the development and operation of grocery retail stores. Co. operates a retail chain of soft-discount, supermarket and hypermarket stores under the brand names "Pyaterochka", "Perekrestok" and "Karusel" in major population centres in Russia, including but not limited to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg and Kiev, Ukraine.

Provider
Sberbank
Sberbank

​Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

Analysts
Andrey Krylov

Mikhail Krasnoperov

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