Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Guidance nach verhaltenem Jahresauftakt bestätigt

Das schwache Branchenumfeld und eine geringere Anzahl an Verkaufstagen führte bei Adler Modemärkte im Q1/2018 zu einer im Jahresvergleich rückläufigen Umsatz und Ergebnisentwicklung. Ungeachtet dessen wurde die Guidance für das Geschäftsjahr 2018 bekräftigt, die Umsätze auf Vorjahresniveau und einen Anstieg des EBITDA auf eine Bandbreite zwischen EUR 26 und 29 Mio. (2017: EUR 25,4 Mio.) vorsieht. Positive Effekte erwartet das Management aus einer bereits aktuell anziehenden Branchenkonjunktur und durch den neuen Logistik-Partner mit Kosteneinsparungen im unteren bis mittleren einstelligen Millionen-Euro-Bereich. In Anbetracht einer von uns in den kommenden Quartalen erwarteten deutlichen Ertragsverbesserung bestätigen unser aus einem DCF-Entity-Modell-abgeleitetes Kursziel von EUR 8,60 je Aktie und unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Adler Modemärkte AG.

Underlying
Adler Modemaerkte AG

Adler is engaged as a textile retailer in Germany. Co.'s product range is primarily tailored to those aged 45 and above. Co.'s product range includes a selection of womenswear, menswear and kidswear. Co. also provides a supplementary range of products consisting of accessories, footwear, kidswear and babywear, dress and goods. Co.'s brands include MyOwn, Viventy by Bernd Berger, Via Cortesa, Thea 42+, Eagle No.7. and its outdoor brand, eibsee.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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