Mit einer Reihe von Informationen hat Media and Games Invest (MGI) gestern den Kapitalmarkt überrascht. Die hervorstechendste war aus unserer Sicht die Veröffentlichung einer Mittelfrist-Guidance für die Konzerntochter gamigo, die zeigt, dass MGI in den kommenden drei bis fünf Jahren die in den vergangenen Jahren erzielten Wachstumsraten bei Umsatz und Ertrag sogar übertreffen könnte. Untermauert wird die Entwicklung bei gamigo durch einen guten Newsflow aus den kürzlich übernommenen Beteiligungen im Bereich Medien und Werbung. Wir sehen unsere Einschätzung, dass die bislang getätigten Beteiligungen in diesem Wachstumssegment für MGI wertschöpfende Auswirkungen haben, unterstützt und bestätigen unser aus einem dreiphasigen DCF-Entity-Modell ermitteltes Kursziel von EUR 1,80 je Aktie (Base Case-Szenario). Angesichts eines im Base Case-Szenario auf Sicht von 24 Monaten erwarteten Kurspotenzials von 63,6% bekräftigen wir unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Media and Games
Invest plc.
Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.
As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.
After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.
Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.
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