Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Deutliche Unterbewertung des Immobilienbestands

Deutliche Unterbewertung des Immobilienbestands​Die heute veröffentlichten Halbjahreszahlen lagen im Rahmen der Erwartungen und der Guidance. Obwohl Ludwig Beck derzeit sowohl vom schwachen Einzelhandelsumfeld als auch von standortspezifischen Belastungen der Münchener Innenstadt belastet wird, ist es dem Unternehmen gelungen, die operative Ertragslage zu stabilisieren und ein Ergebnis auf Vorjahresniveau zu erreichen. Die Guidance für 2017e, wonach im Konzern bei Bruttoerlösen zwischen EUR 170 und 180 Mio. ein operatives Ergebnis zwischen EUR 4 und 6 Mio. erwirtschaftet werden soll, wurde dementsprechend bestätigt. Bei unveränderten Gesamtjahresprognosen bekräftigen wir unser Buy-Rating und bestätigen unser aus einem DCF-Entity-Modell (Base-Case-Szenario) abgeleitetes Zwölf-Monats-Kursziel von EUR 34,40 je Aktie. Unterstützung erhält unser Kursziel durch die aktuelle Bodenrichtwertestudie der Stadt München, die eine deutliche Unterbewertung des Immobilienbestands von Ludwig Beck impliziert. Nach unseren Berechnungen ergibt sich für das Stammhaus in der Münchener Innenstadt ein Gesamtwert von etwa EUR 180 Mio. Dieser Wert liegt deutlich über dem Buchwert des gesamten Immobilienbestands von EUR 94,0 Mio. (per 12/2016) und deutet erhebliche Stille Reserven im Immobilienbestand von Ludwig Beck an.

Underlying
Ludwig Beck am Rathauseck AG

Ludwig Beck am Rathauseck - Textilhaus Feldmeier is the parent company for LUDWIG BECK Group (the Group). The Group is engaged in the sale of all kinds of goods, primarily the wholesale and retail of textiles, clothing, hardware and other merchandise, also by mail order or online, as well as the acquisition, holding and management of investments in unincorporated and incorporated companies, mainly companies that own real estate or who themselves hold interests in such companies. Co. has two segments: textile, which includes all products under apparel; and non-textile., which includes all other LUDWIG BECK products, such as accessories, sound recordings and the HAUTNAH cosmetics line.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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