Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Luft nach oben

Die wesentlichen Eckdaten des Jahresabschlusses 2016 wurden bereits in Vorabmeldungen bekannt gegeben. Auf der gestrigen Bilanzpressekonferenz lag der Schwerpunkt daher auf der Detailanalyse des Geschäftsberichts sowie dem erstmals veröffentlichten Ausblick auf das laufende Geschäftsjahr. Nachdem im Vorjahr die Guidance aufgrund von „antizyklischen“ Witterungsverhältnissen nach unten angepasst werden musste, wurde für 2017e eine Ertragsprognose ausgesprochen, die u. E. Spielraum für eine Anhebung lässt. Ungeachtet dessen haben wir unsere Ertragsprognosen der Guidance angepasst, wodurch sich unser DCF-Entity-Modell basiertes Zwölf-Monats-Kursziel auf EUR 34,40 von bislang EUR 38,30 je Aktie reduziert. Angesichts eines Kurspotenzials von 18,0% bekräftigen wir unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Ludwig Beck AG.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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