We are positive on FTCH for its 4Q21E performance. FTCH’s holiday sales were doing well based on our data: 1) Worldwide discount level and portion of discounts were less than 3Q21, indicating better sales; 2) Both stores and SKUs on FTCH’s platform increased in 4Q21 from 3Q21; and 3) The number of LTM active customers is likely to grow 32.4% Y/Y. Based on our initial data, we estimate FTCH’s total GMV in 4Q21E to be $1.257B, up 18.9% Y/Y.
T.H. Capital is an independent research and investment advisory firm specializing in China. We offers real-time, on-the-ground, bottom-up research across a wide spectrum from macro and industry analysis to company specific projects; from China ADRs to international names that have meaningful exposure to China market. We deliver relevant, comprehensive and data driven research adding immense value to clients.
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