Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2022 04 19
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) has a dominant and growing market position for backuppower generation and storage, a trend that is likely to grow for years. Uniform Accounting
highlights that the market is not pricing in these tailwinds, and Generac's potential to
grow and expand returns faster signal the potential for equity upside.
Generac owns a 75% market share for household backup generators, a market with low
penetration and accelerating demand. With households and businesses relying on more
“essential” equipment like cell towers, temperature control, and IoT components, backup
power itself is becoming an essential service. That's why Generac has been able to expand its Uniform ROA for five consecutive years and grow above 10% in 12 of the last 13 years. With the market pricing in lower growth and fading returns, Generac should be able to outperform the market's expectations.
GNRC's management is closely aligned to focus on margin expansion and overall growth,
two critical factors for driving equity upside.
Management confidence in the Q4 earnings call about the growing residential market and
their ability to grow market share suggest management is executing on the company's
ongoing strategy.
ACN Q2 2022 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to remain stable, and management is confident about sustainability and new bookings
AMAT Q1 2022 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to decline, and management may have concerns about profitability, supply chain constraints, and digital transformation
EPAM Q4 2021 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to Improve, but management may have concerns about growth, profitability, and employees
GNRC, ACN, AMAT, EPAM, MOH, SQ, STX, WEC, WPC
Applied Materials provides manufacturing equipment, services and software to the semiconductor, display and related industries. The company's segments are: Semiconductor Systems, which develops, manufactures and sells a range of manufacturing equipment used to fabricate semiconductor chips; Applied Global Services, which provides integrated solutions to support equipment and fab performance and productivity; and Display and Adjacent Markets, which is comprised of products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes and other display technologies for TVs, monitors, laptops, personal computers, electronic tablets, smart phones, and other consumer-oriented devices.
Epam Systems is a provider of software product development and digital platform engineering services to customers located around the world, primarily in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. The company's industry services include financial services, travel and consumer, software and hi-tech, business information and media, life sciences and healthcare, as well as other industries.
Generac Holdings is a designer and manufacturer of a range of power generation equipment and other power products serving the residential, light commercial and industrial markets. The company's products include residential, commercial and industrial standby generators, as well as portable and mobile generators used in a range of applications. Other engine powered products that the company designs and manufactures include light towers which provide temporary lighting for various end markets; commercial and industrial mobile heaters and pumps used in the oil and gas, construction and other industrial markets; and a product line of outdoor power equipment for residential and commercial use.
Molina Healthcare is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides managed healthcare services under the Medicaid and Medicare programs, and through the state insurance marketplaces. The company has two segments: Health Plans and Other. The company's health plans are operated by its respective wholly owned subsidiaries in those states, each of which is licensed as a health maintenance organization. The company's business includes: Medicaid, which provides health care and long-term care services and support to low-income Americans; and Medicare, which provides eligible persons age 65 and over and some disabled persons with a variety of hospital, medical insurance, and prescription drug benefits.
Square is a commerce ecosystem that combines software with hardware to enable sellers to turn mobile devices and computing devices into payment and point-of-sale solutions. With the company's offering, a seller can accept payments via magnetic stripe, Europay, MasterCard, and Visa, or Near Field Communication; or online via Square Invoices, Square Virtual Terminal, or the seller's website or app. Also, sellers can gain access to reporting and analytics, next-day settlements, digital receipts, payment dispute and chargeback management, security, and Payment Card Industry compliance. The company's Cash App enable individuals to send and receive money electronically to and from individuals and businesses.
W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified real estate investment trust (REIT). The company's business operates in two segments: Real Estate, in which the company invests in commercial real estate properties that are net-leased to tenants, primarily located in the U.S. and Northern and Western Europe; and Investment Management, in which the company manages tjhe portfolios of certain non-traded investment programs through its investment management business, non-traded REITs that have invested in lodging and lodging-related properties, and a private limited partnership formed for the purpose of developing, owning, and operating student housing properties and similar investments in Europe.
WEC Energy Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides regulated natural gas and electricity, and nonregulated renewable energy. The company's segments include: Wisconsin, which generates and distributes electric energy and provides retail natural gas distribution service; Illinois, which includes the natural gas utility operations; Electric Transmission, which owns, maintains, monitors, and operates electric transmission systems in Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, and Minnesota; and Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, which owns and leases generating facilities to its Wisconsin Electric Power Company subsidiary and owns underground natural gas storage facilities in Michigan.
In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:
- GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
- Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
- Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
- Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available
We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.
- Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
- Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
- Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
- The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming
The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.