Report
Valens Research

ATVI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 10 04

Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 23.5x Uniform P/E, implying bullish expectations for the firm. However, management has concerns about poor Blizzard results, and their focus on their incubation pipeline

Specifically, management may be concerned about their ability to maintain strong results through H2 2018, and to leverage external resources to improve game play experiences. Moreover, they may have concerns about the sustainability of growth in King active users and increased engagement in battle royale style games. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the potential for continued declines in Blizzard revenue and operating margin, and may be exaggerating their focus on expanding their incubation pipeline. Lastly, they may be exaggerating their commitment to their audience and the engagement of their community members
Underlying
Activision Blizzard Inc.

Activision Blizzard is a global developer and publisher of interactive entertainment content and services. The company's segments are: Activision Publishing, Inc., which is a global developer and publisher of interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform; Blizzard Entertainment, Inc., which is a global developer and publisher of interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the personal computers platform; and King Digital Entertainment, which is a global developer and publisher of interactive entertainment content and services, particularly for the mobile platform, including for Google Inc.'s Android and Apple Inc.'s iOS.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch