Report
Valens Research

AAP - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 10 08

Advance Auto Parts (AAP:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 24.2x Uniform P/E, implying muted expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about seasonality, gross margin, and expenses

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to control for seasonality, and they appear concerned about the sustainability of recent Professional business performance. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to unlock long-term growth through future investments, and they may be concerned about the impact of their supply chain on gross margin. Finally, they appear concerned about further impacts from sales mix on gross margin, and they may lack confidence in their ability to continue driving cost savings.
Underlying
Advance Auto Parts Inc.

Advance Auto Parts is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (Professional), and do-it-yourself (DIY), customers as well as independently owned operators. The company's stores and branches provide a range selection of brand name, original equipment manufacturer and private label automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy duty trucks. Through its integrated operating approach, the company serves its Professional and DIY customers through a variety of channels ranging from brick and mortar store locations to self-service e-commerce sites.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
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Valens Research

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