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Valens Research

AMAG - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 11 21

AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMAG:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, implying bearish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management may have concerns about their ability to pursue investment opportunities, expectations for cash flow and revenue growth, and generic competition for Makena

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to pursue investment opportunities due to financial constraints, and may be concerned about the alignment between their strategies and their balance sheet. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to maintain current cash flow levels, and to consistently develop durable revenue products. Moreover, they may be concerned about increased competition and supply issues for their intramuscular Makena product, and may be exaggerating the long-term earning potential of Makena. They may also lack confidence in their ability to create resiliency for Makena against generics. Finally, they may be concerned about the effect of high deductible plans on their co-pay program, and about the short-term outlook for Intrarosa
Underlying
AMAG Pharmaceuticals Inc.

AMAG Pharmaceuticals is a pharmaceutical company focused on bringing products to patients in the areas of maternal and women's health, anemia management and cancer supportive care, including Feraheme? (ferumoxytol injection) for intravenous use, Makena? (hydroxyprogesterone caproate injection), Intrarosa? (prasterone) vaginal inserts and MuGard? Mucoadhesive Oral Wound Rinse. The company's portfolio also includes three product candidates, Vyleesi? (bremelanotide), which is for the treatment of hypoactive sexual desire disorder in pre-menopausal women, AMAG-423 (digoxin immune fab (ovine)), which is for the treatment of preeclampsia, and ciraparantag, which serves as an anticoagulant reversal agent.

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