Report
Valens Research

AAL - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 03 28

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 25.3x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations, but management has concerns about new markets, profits, and yield

Specifically, management may be downplaying concerns about their expansion into new cities, and may lack confidence in their customer service. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to expand at LAX, and may have concerns about declining net profits vs. Q4 2016. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in the sustainability of improving passenger yield, and may be downplaying concerns about their flight profitability system
Underlying
American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company's business activity is the operation of a primary network carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The company's regional carriers provide scheduled air transportation under American Eagle. The American Eagle carriers include the company's regional carriers Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc., as well as third-party regional carriers including Republic Airline Inc., Mesa Airlines, Inc., SkyWest Airlines, Inc. and Compass Airlines, LLC. The company's cargo division provides freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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