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Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2019 03 27

MTZ currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 16.8x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to compress from 10% in 2018 to 5% in 2023, accompanied by 10% Uniform Asset growth going forward. Analysts have slightly less bearish expectations, projecting Uniform ROA to maintain 10% levels in 2020, accompanied by 5% Uniform Asset growth. Meanwhile, management is confident about their long-term oil and gas market outlook, capital structure, and segment growth opportunities. Should MTZ just sustain profitability near current levels, as positive management sentiment would suggest, upside would be warranted.

PLNT Q4 2018 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Expectations for PLNT are relatively muted, implying that, despite the potential for near-term headwinds, long-term equity upside remains warranted.

ZTS Q4 2018 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to remain at current peaks, but management has concerns about growth, expenses, and market share.

RYI Q4 2018 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA expansion, but management has concerns about market share, the steel industry, and debt.
Underlyings
AutoNation Inc.

AutoNation, through its subsidiaries, is an automotive retailer. The company provides a range of automotive products and services, including new vehicles, used vehicles, parts and service, which includes automotive repair and maintenance services as well as wholesale parts and collision businesses, and automotive finance and insurance products, which include vehicle service and other protection products, and the arranging of financing for vehicle purchases through third-party finance sources. The company owns and operates new vehicle franchises from stores located in the United States, in main metropolitan markets in the Sunbelt region. The company has three segments: Domestic, Import, and Premium Luxury.

Caesars Entertainment Corporation

Caesars Entertainment is a holding company that provides casino-entertainment and hospitality services. The company's facilities include gaming offerings, food and beverage outlets, hotel and convention space, and non-gaming entertainment options. In addition to its brick and mortar assets, the company operates an online gaming business that provides real money games in certain jurisdictions and provides retail sports wagering in certain jurisdictions. The company's consolidated business is composed of five complementary businesses: casino entertainment, food and beverage, rooms and hotel, casino management services, and entertainment and other business operations, including mobile sports betting.

Cars.com Inc.

Cars.com is a digital marketplace and solutions provider for the automotive industry that connects car shoppers with sellers and original equipment manufacturers. The company's portfolio of brands includes Cars.com, Dealer Inspire, DealerRater, Auto.com, NewCars.com and PickupTrucks.com. The CARS marketplace consists of a website that features a database of new and used vehicle listings, reviews, news and research section. Dealer Inspire is engaged in automotive technology that provides websites, technology solutions and advertising services to dealers across the United States and Canada. DealerRater is a source of user-generated reviews of both automobile dealers and dealership salespeople.

Chesapeake Energy Corporation

Chesapeake Energy is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an independent exploration and production company engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas and natural gas liquid from underground reservoirs. The company owns a portfolio of onshore U.S. liquids and natural gas assets. The company has positions in the resource plays of the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas, the stacked pay in the Powder River Basin in Wyoming and the Anadarko Basin in northwestern Oklahoma. The company's natural gas resource plays are the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania and the Haynesville/Bossier Shales in northwestern Louisiana.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation Class A

Cognizant Technology Solutions is a services company, transforming customers' business, operating and technology models for the digital era. The company's services include digital services and solutions, consulting, application development, systems integration, application testing, application maintenance, infrastructure services and business process services. Additionally, the company develops, licenses, implements and supports proprietary and third-party software products and platforms. The company has organized its services and solutions into four practice areas: Digital Business, Digital Operations, Digital Systems and Technology and Consulting.

Delphi Technologies Plc

DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.

DENTSPLY SIRONA is a manufacturer of dental products and technologies. The company's Consumables segment is responsible for the design, manufacture, sales and distribution of the company's dental consumable products which include preventive, restorative, endodontic, and dental laboratory products. The company's Technologies and Equipment segment includes responsibility for the design, manufacture, sales and distribution of the company's dental technology and equipment products and healthcare consumable products, including dental implants, computer-aided design/computer-aided manufacturing systems, orthodontic clear aligner products, imaging systems, treatment centers, instruments, and consumable medical device products.

DISH Network Corporation Class A

DISH Network is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company operates two business segments: Pay-TV and Wireless. The company provides pay-TV services under: the DISH? brand, which consists of, among other things, Federal Communications Commission licenses authorizing the company to use direct broadcast satellite and Fixed Satellite Service spectrum, the company's owned and leased satellites, and certain other assets utilized in the company's operations; and the Sling? brand, which consists of, among other things, live-linear streaming over-the-top Internet-based domestic, international and Latino video programming services. In addition, the company invests to acquire certain wireless spectrum licenses and related assets.

Infosys Limited ADS

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum is an independent petroleum refining and marketing, retail and midstream company. The company's segments include: Refining and Marketing, which refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries, purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products; Retail, which sells transportation fuels and convenience products in the retail market across the U.S.; and Midstream, which transports, stores, distributes and markets crude oil and refined products via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges, gathers, processes and transports natural gas, and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores and markets natural gas liquids.

MasTec Inc.

MasTec is an infrastructure construction company operating mainly throughout North America across a range of industries. The company's segments include: Communications, which performs engineering, construction, maintenance and customer fulfillment activities related to communications infrastructure; Oil and Gas, which performs engineering, construction and maintenance services on oil and natural gas pipelines and processing facilities; Electrical Transmission, which performs engineering, construction and maintenance of electrical transmission lines and substations; and Power Generation and Industrial, which performs installation and construction of power facilities.

Planet Fitness Inc. Class A

Planet Fitness is a holding company. Through its subsidiries, the company is engaged as a franchisor and operator of fitness centers. The company's stores include co-branded cardio equipment, free weights, strength machines, a workout area, a small retail area and a drink cooler. The company operates and manages its business in three business segments: Franchise, which includes operations related to its franchising business in the U.S., Puerto Rico, Canada, the Dominican Republic and Panama; Corporate-owned stores, which includes operations with respect to all corporate-owned stores throughout the U.S. and Canada; and Equipment, which includes the sale of equipment to franchisee-owned stores in the U.S.

Ryerson Holding Corporation

Ryerson Holding is a metals service center, a processor and distributor of industrial metals. The company provides flat and long metals products. The company also provides processing and fabrication services such as bending, beveling, blanking, blasting, burning, cutting-to-length, drilling, embossing, flattening, forming, grinding, laser cutting, machining, notching, painting, perforating, polishing, punching, rolling, sawing, scribing, shearing, slitting, stamping, tapping, threading, welding, or other techniques to process materials to a specified thickness, length, width, shape, and surface quality pursuant to specific customer orders. The company operates across North America and in China.

Shutterstock Inc.

Shutterstock is a technology company that provides a creative platform including content, tools and services. The content licensed by the company's customers includes: images, consisting of photographs, vectors and illustrations, which are used in visual communications, such as websites, digital and print marketing materials, corporate communications, books, publications and other similar uses; Footage, consisting of video clips; and music, consisting of music tracks and sound effects, which is often used to complement images and footage. The company's products include Shutterstock, Bigstock, Offset, Shutterstock Select, Shutterstock Custom, Shutterstock Editorial and Shutterstock Music and PremiumBeat.

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

SolarEdge Technologies designs, develops, and sells an intelligent inverter solution designed for power generation at the individual photovoltaic module level. The company's products consist mainly of power optimizers designed to maximize energy throughput from each and every module via constant tracking of Maximum Power Point individually per module; inverters, which invert direct current from the PV module to alternating current; a related cloud-based monitoring platform; and a storage solution that is used to increase energy independence and maximize self-consumption for homeowners by utilizing a battery that is sold separately by third party manufacturers, to store and supply power as needed.

Transocean Ltd.

United Natural Foods Inc.

United Natural Foods is a distributor of natural, organic, specialty, produce, and grocery and non-food products, and provider of support services in the United States and Canada. The company's selection of products includes nationally advertised brand name and private-label products, including grocery, general merchandise, home, health and beauty care, and pharmacy, which are sold through its Wholesale segment to wholesale customers and through its subsidiary, SUPERVALU INC.'s-operated retail stores to shoppers. The company provides marketing services for its customers and suppliers, including consumer and trade marketing programs, as well as programs to support suppliers in understanding its markets.

Viatris Inc.

Walmart Inc.

Walmart is engaged in global operations of retail, wholesale and other units, as well as eCommerce, located throughout the U.S., Africa, Argentina, Canada, Central America, Chile, China, India, Japan, Mexico and the U.K. The company's operations are conducted in three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., which is a mass merchandiser of consumer products, operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands, as well as walmart.com, jet.com and other eCommerce brands; Walmart International, which includes various formats divided into retail, wholesale and other categories; and Sam's Club, which is a membership-only warehouse club that also operates samsclub.com.

Zoetis Inc. Class A

Zoetis is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in the discovery, development, manufacture and commercialization of animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostic products with a focus on both livestock and companion animals. The company operates in two segments: the United States and International. The company's main product categories are vaccines, anti-infectives, parasiticides, other pharmaceutical products, dermatology products, medicated feed additives, and animal health diagnostics. The company's other non-pharmaceutical product categories include nutritionals and agribusiness, as well as products and services including biodevices, genetic tests and precision livestock farming.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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