Report
Valens Research

AVP - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 01 03

Avon Products, Inc. (AVP:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to
UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 23.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand, but management appears concerned about their pilot programs, marketing, and cash flow.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their pilots in Brazil and Russia driving sales, and they may be concerned about the effectiveness of their marketing. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to reach positive cash flow in 2019, and they may be concerned about the effectiveness of their new on-boarding platform.
Underlying
Avon Products Inc.

Avon Products is a manufacturer and marketer of beauty and related products. The company's product categories are Beauty and Fashion and Home. Beauty consists of skincare, fragrance and color (cosmetics). Fashion and Home consists of fashion jewelry, watches, apparel, footwear, accessories, gift and decorative products, housewares, entertainment and leisure products, children's products and nutritional products. The company's business is conducted primarily in one channel, direct selling. The company's reportable segments are based on geographic operations in four regions: Europe, Middle East & Africa; South Latin America; North Latin America; and Asia Pacific.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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