Report
Valens Research

BKE - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 02 21

The Buckle, Inc. (BKE:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 14.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, markets are pricing in bearish expectations, and management may be concerned about margins, capex, and new product arrivals.

Specifically, management may be concerned about recent margin weakness and capital expenditures, and they may lack confidence in their ability to manage sales payroll expenses. Moreover, management may be exaggerating their excitement about new product arrivals and reduced markdowns for the holiday season, and they may lack confidence in their ability to improve CRM uses.
Underlying
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

Bank of New York Mellon divides its businesses into two business segments, Investment Services and Investment Management. The company also has an Other segment, which includes the leasing portfolio, corporate treasury activities, derivatives and other trading activity, corporate and bank-owned life insurance, renewable energy investments and business exits. The company's two principal United States banking subsidiaries engage in trust and custody activities, investment management services, banking services and various securities-related activities. The company has four other United States bank and/or trust company subsidiaries concentrating on trust products and services across the United States.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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