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Valens Research

BHC - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 03 19

Bausch Health Companies Inc. (BHC:USA) currently trades well below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with an 11.3x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. However, although management appears concerned about the Bausch + Lomb spinoff, their R&D pipeline, and new product launches, market expectations are overly bearish, and longer-term equity outperformance is warranted

Specifically, management may have concerns about the impact of potential divestitures, the strength of their R&D pipeline, and the ability of their businesses to recover from the impacts of the pandemic. In addition, they may lack confidence in their ability to pay off their target debt in 2021, efficiently complete the internal objectives necessary for the Bausch + Lomb (B&L) spinoff, and improve their EBITDA. Furthermore, they may be overstating the potential of their ULTRA ONE DAY and Silicon Hydrogen (SiHy) Daily Lenses launches and the opportunity to unlock shareholder value from the B&L spinoff

Although management appears concerned about the Bausch + Lomb spinoff, their R&D pipeline, and new product launches, market expectations are overly bearish given the firm's overblown market concerns. As such, longer-term equity outperformance is warranted for BHC
Underlying
Bausch Health Companies Inc.

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International is a pharmaceutical and medical device company that develops, manufactures, and markets a range of branded, generic and branded generic pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter (OTC) products, and medical devices (contact lenses, intraocular lenses, ophthalmic surgical equipment, and aesthetics devices). Co. has two operating and reportable segments: Developed Markets, which focuses in dermatology, neurology, gastrointestinal disorders, and eye health therapeutic; and Emerging Markets, which focuses primarily on branded generics, OTC products, and medical devices.

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