BZH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 04 10
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (BZH:USA) currently trades near recent lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 6.8x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. However, management is confident in their plan options, growth strategy execution, and housing trend improvements.Specifically, management is confident in their pre-engineered structural plan options, and balanced growth strategy execution. In addition, they are confident in late-January macro housing trends improvement.
Beazer Homes USA is engaged as a homebuilder. The company's homebuilding operations consist of the design, sale, and construction of single-family and multi-family homes. The company purchases land or obtains an option to purchase land, which, in either case, requires certain site improvements prior to home construction. When available in certain markets, the company also buys finished lots that are ready for home construction. The company has investments with land developers, other homebuilders and financial partners to acquire land positions, to manage its risk profile and to utilize its capital base. The company also acts as the general contractor for the construction of its new home communities.
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- GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
- Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
- Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
- Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.
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- Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
- The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming
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