Report
Valens Research

BERY - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 12 17

Berry Global (BERY) currently trades below corporate but near historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 14.7x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to compress to 9%, accompanied by 6% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to sustain 15% levels through 2023, with 2% Uniform asset growth.

Given the firm's investments in innovation and its sound acquisition strategy, there is fundamental potential for stronger-than-priced-in performance.

If the company can capitalize on its innovation and acquisitions, it could drive Uniform ROA to 15% with 6% Uniform asset growth going forward, which would imply a stock price closer to $175, representing approximately 144% equity upside for the firm.
Underlying
Berry Global Group Inc

Berry Global Group is a supplier of a range of non-woven products used within consumer and industrial end markets. The company's segments are: Consumer Packaging International, which includes recycling, bottles and canisters, containers, polythene films, and technical components product groups; Consumer Packaging North America, which includes containers and pails, foodservice, and tubes product groups; Engineered Materials, which includes stretch and shrink films, converter films, food and consumer films, retail bags, polyvinyl chloride films, and agriculture films product groups; and Health, and Hygiene and Specialties, which includes health products, hygiene products, and specialties products.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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