Report
Valens Research

CSL - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 10 16

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to Uniform Earnings, with a 14.7x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about their margins, restructuring efforts, and backlog.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to meet their full-year margin guidance and long-term 15% ROIC goal. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the impact of ongoing trade tensions, and they may lack confidence in their ability to execute on their restructuring efforts. Additionally, they may be concerned about the timing of the reroofing cycle and about the sustainability of their current backlog. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain recent revenue growth.
Underlying
Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Carlisle Companies designs, manufactures and markets commercial roofing, energy, agriculture, mining, construction, aerospace and defense electronics, medical technology, transportation, among others. The company's segments are: Carlisle Construction Material, which provides ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber, thermoplastic polyolefin and polyvinyl chloride membrane and metal roofing systems; Carlisle Interconnect Technologies, which provides wire, cable, connectors, contacts and cable assemblies, and satellite communication equipment; Carlisle Fluid Technologies, which provides liquid, powder, sealants and adhesives finishing equipment and system components; and Carlisle Brake and Friction.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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