Report
Valens Research

CSL - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 08 13

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 19.7x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to remain stable, but management may have concerns about their Construction Materials (CCM) business, Henry Company acquisition, and sales backlog.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain the sales recovery in their Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) business, meet customer expectations amid pent-up reroofing demand, and maintain Carlisle Operating System cost savings. Furthermore, they may have concerns about 2021 CCM sales volumes, supply chain headwinds, and the declines in their EBITDA margin. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to effectively prioritize customers as they manage their backlog, make progress on their pipeline for the Carlisle Interconnect Technologies (CIT) medical platform, and meet seasonal expectations for Q3. Finally, management may be overstating the potential of their Henry Company acquisition.
Underlying
Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Carlisle Companies designs, manufactures and markets commercial roofing, energy, agriculture, mining, construction, aerospace and defense electronics, medical technology, transportation, among others. The company's segments are: Carlisle Construction Material, which provides ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber, thermoplastic polyolefin and polyvinyl chloride membrane and metal roofing systems; Carlisle Interconnect Technologies, which provides wire, cable, connectors, contacts and cable assemblies, and satellite communication equipment; Carlisle Fluid Technologies, which provides liquid, powder, sealants and adhesives finishing equipment and system components; and Carlisle Brake and Friction.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch