Report
Valens Research

CAT - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2017 12 19

 Caterpillar Inc. (CAT:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to
UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 2.9x Uniform P/B, implying fairly bullish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management is confident about their strategy and end markets

 Specifically, management is confident about their focus on profitable growth and cost discipline, and the sustainability of strength in the Construction and Resource end markets. They are also confident in their growth expectations for the Chinese construction industry
Underlying
Caterpillar Inc.

Caterpillar is a manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives. The company segments include: Construction Industries, which supports customers using machinery in infrastructure, forestry and building construction; Resource Industries, which supports customers using machinery in mining, heavy construction, quarry and aggregates, waste and material handling applications; Energy and Transportation, which supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail and industrial applications, including Cat? machines; and Financial Products, which provides financing and related services.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
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