Report
Valens Research

CAT - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 06 12

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT:USA) currently trades below recent averages relative to
UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 14.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management has concerns about well servicing order slowdowns, freight and labor costs, and their ability to sustain dividends and share buybacks

Specifically, management may be concerned about slowdowns in well servicing orders and softness in the oil and gas industry. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to mitigate headwinds from steel tariffs, freight costs, and variable labor costs during the second half of the year. Finally, management may have concerns about the safety of their workplace, their ability to sustain dividends and share buybacks, and the progress of their rail services acquisitions
Underlying
Caterpillar Inc.

Caterpillar is a manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives. The company segments include: Construction Industries, which supports customers using machinery in infrastructure, forestry and building construction; Resource Industries, which supports customers using machinery in mining, heavy construction, quarry and aggregates, waste and material handling applications; Energy and Transportation, which supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail and industrial applications, including Cat? machines; and Financial Products, which provides financing and related services.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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Valens Research

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