Report
Valens Research

CERN - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 01 18

Cerner Corporation (CERN:USA) is currently trading below recent averages relative to a UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a Uniform P/E of 19.0x. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations, and management may have concerns about hitting revenue and margin targets, growth potential of healthcare investments, and demand for their products

Specifically, management may have concerns about maintaining revenue growth and margins, and might be concerned about their ability to meet guidance. Moreover, they may be concerned about the potential of investments in their revenue cycle, and may be overstating growth potential for healthcare segments. Furthermore, they may be overstating demand in the replacement market and the progress of existing projects, specifically with the Department of Veterans Affairs
Underlying
Cerner Corporation

Cerner designs, develops, markets, installs, hosts and supports health care information technology, health care devices, hardware and content solutions for health care organizations and consumers. The company also provides a range of services, including implementation and training, remote hosting, operational management services, revenue cycle services, support and maintenance, transaction processing, employer health centers, employee wellness programs and third party administrator services for employer-based health plans. The company has two operating segments: Domestic, which includes business activity in the United States; and International, which includes business activity outside the United States.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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