Report
Valens Research

CLW - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 08 10

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW:USA) currently trades at a discount to UAFRS-based (Uniform) assets, with a 0.6x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has expectations for profitability to remain muted, and management may be concerned about U.S. tissue retail sales, Consumer Products demand, and away-from-home business trends

Specifically, management is confident they are seeing pullback in their industry and may lack confidence in the sustainability of growth in the U.S. tissue market. Moreover, they may have concerns about the coronavirus impact on their Consumer Products demand, the developing away-from-home demand trends, and the terms of their debt maturity schedule
Underlying
Clearwater Paper Corporation

Clearwater Paper manufactures consumer tissue, away-from-home tissue (AFH), parent roll tissue, bleached paperboard and pulp. The company is a supplier of private label tissue to retailers and wholesale distributors. In addition, the company produces bleached paperboard and provides services that include custom sheeting, slitting and cutting. The company's segments are: Consumer Products, which manufactures and sells a complete line of at-home tissue products as well as AFH products; and Pulp and Paperboard, which consists primarily of folding carton, liquid packaging, cup and plate products, blister and carded packaging, top sheet, commercial printing grades and hardwood and softwood pulp.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch