Report
Valens Research

CLF - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 04 20

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) currently trades below corporate but near historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 3.7x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to decline to 3%, accompanied by 7% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to fade to 14% by 2023, accompanied by 2% Uniform asset growth.

If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $64, representing significant potential equity upside for the firm.

That said, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about steel demand, ESG, and supply chain.
Underlying
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc

Cleveland-Cliffs is an iron ore mining company. The company is a supplier of iron ore pellets to the North American steel industry from its mines and pellet plants located in Michigan and Minnesota. The company is organized according to its differentiated products. The company has two segments: Mining and Pelletizing, which the company is a main producer of iron ore pellets, primarily selling production from its Mining and Pelletizing segment to integrated steel companies in the U.S. and Canada; and Metallics, which constructing a Hot Briquetted Iron (HBI) production plant, whereby HBI is an iron alternative to scrap that, when used as a feedstock, allows an Electric Arc Furnace to produces valuable grades of steel.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

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  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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