Report
Valens Research

COTY - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 10 19

Coty Inc. (COTY) currently trades above historical and corporate averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 43.5x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to rebound to 27%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth.

However, if analyst expectations for 17% Uniform ROA and 5% asset shrinkage were to hold true in perpetuity, and the firm were to see no further improvements, there is potential for significant downside for the name.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about marketing, leverage, and growth.
Underlying
Coty Inc. Class A

Coty and its subsidiaries are a beauty company. The company manufactures, markets, sells and distributes beauty products, including fragrances, color cosmetics, hair care products and skin and body related products. The company is organized into three divisions, which is also its operating and reportable segments: Consumer Beauty, Luxury and Professional Beauty. Consumer Beauty is primarily focused on color cosmetics, retail hair coloring and styling products, body care and mass fragrances. Luxury is primarily focused on fragrances, skincare and cosmetics. Professional Beauty is primarily focused on hair and nail care products for salon personnel.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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