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Valens Research

DVA - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 04 09

DaVita Inc. (DVA:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 17.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about average sales price, revenue and cash flow guidance, and margins

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to meet revenue and cash flow expectations in 2020, maintain margins, and identify CKD patients with the highest risk of transition to ESRD. In addition, they may be concerned about the negative average sales price trajectory of calcimimetics, the impact of Medicare Advantage adoption, and their stock's intrinsic value
Underlying
DaVita Inc.

DaVita is a healthcare provider focused on transforming care delivery to improve quality of life for patients. The company's United States dialysis business provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from end stage renal disease (ESRD). The company's dialysis services include outpatient hemodialysis services, hospital inpatient hemodialysis services, home-based dialysis services, ESRD laboratory services, and management services. The company's ancillary services and strategic initiatives businesses include disease management services, physician services, ESRD Seamless Care Organization joint ventures, clinical research programs, vascular access services, as well as international dialysis operations.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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