Report
Valens Research

DG - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 08 25

Dollar General Corporation (DG:USA) currently trades at a historical high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 24.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has expectations for profitability to remain stable, and management is confident about sales growth, Non-Consumable Initiative, and their supply chain

Specifically, management is confident the same-store sales growth is driven by broad-based performance across many fronts, that the Non-Consumable Initiative (NCI) offering has expanded to more than 3,200 stores, and that their merchandise inventories were $4.1bn at the end of Q1 2020, a decrease of 5.5% on a per-store basis. Also, they are confident in their supply chain and in its ability to deliver products to stores
Underlying
Dollar General Corporation

Dollar General is a discount retailer. The company's consumables products includes paper and cleaning products, packaged food, perishables, snacks, health and beauty, pet, and tobacco products. The company's seasonal products include decorations, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive and home office supplies. The company's home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, bed and bath soft goods. The company's apparel includes casual everyday apparel, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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