Report
Valens Research

DASH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 06 22

DoorDash, Inc. (DASH:USA) currently trades at a significant premium relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) assets, with a 58.1x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to positively inflect, but management may have concerns about customer order growth, organic investments, and restaurant reopenings

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to improve restaurant and non-restaurant order growth and frequency, provide tools for merchants to grow their digital businesses, and secure organic investments to build an international presence. Moreover, they may have concerns about the breadth of diversification opportunities, the sustainability of consumer delivery demand, and the impact of store reopening on consumer behavior. Furthermore, management may lack confidence in their ability to enhance their platform, invest in new delivery verticals, and maximize their scale. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet gross order value(GOV) guidance, provide flexible employee benefits to drivers, and effectively roll out commission caps
Underlying
DoorDash

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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