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Valens Research

EPAM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 01 27

 EPAM Systems (EPAM:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 32.4x Uniform P/E, implying bullish expectations for the firm. However, management may have concerns about profitability, growth, and their capabilities

 Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to improve profitability and sustain growth in their financials business. Moreover, they may be concerned about the progress of their business transition efforts, the sustainability of demand for their services, and the ability of their acquisitions to contribute to growth. Furthermore, management may be exaggerating their high-end expertise and capabilities, and they may be downplaying concerns about seasonality in their Software and Hi-tech verticals
Underlying
EPAM Systems Inc.

Epam Systems is a provider of software product development and digital platform engineering services to customers located around the world, primarily in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. The company's industry services include financial services, travel and consumer, software and hi-tech, business information and media, life sciences and healthcare, as well as other industries.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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