Report
Valens Research

EXLS - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 08 25

ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 24.0x Uniform P/E. Even at these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm. However, given management's confidence about Analytics growth and their partnerships with clients, market expectations are still too bearish, and equity outperformance is warranted.

Specifically, management is confident analytics demand was driven by their enterprise-wide adoption of data-driven decision-making, their efforts to hyper-personalize customer interactions, and the accelerated shift to the cloud. Similarly, they are confident the Analytics business will exceed their own expected growth rate. Management is also confident they have formed closer partnerships with their clients, which has helped them get through the uncertainty of the past several quarters.

Given management's confidence about Analytics growth and their partnerships with clients, market expectations are too bearish, and long-term equity outperformance is warranted.
Underlying
ExlService Holdings Inc.

ExlService Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an operations management and analytics company. The company's operations management services involve the transfer to the company's business operations of a client such as claims processing, clinical operations, or financial transaction processing, after which the company administers and manages those operations for its client on an ongoing basis, or in case of consulting, consulting services related to transformation services, including digital transformation services. The company's Analytics services focus on driving business outcomes for its customers by generating data-driven insights across various parts of its customers' business.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch