Report
Valens Research

FDX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 10 16

FedEx Corporation (FDX:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to
UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 1.4x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has somewhat bullish expectations for the firm. However, management has concerns about their ability to meet financial targets, the impact of a downturn in global trade, and their ability to improve margins

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to meet their reaffirmed guidance targets, and may be concerned about their ability to offset a potential slowdown in global trade. Moreover, they may be exaggerating the speed, size, and scope advantage of the FedEx network (relative to their competitors') and their optimism about their profitable growth potential. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to maintain double-digit operating margins, and to improve profitability through their integration of TNT
Underlying
FedEx Corporation

FedEx provides transportation, e-commerce and business services through companies under the FedEx brand. These companies are included in the following segments: Federal Express Corporation, including TNT Express B.V., is an express transportation company; FedEx Ground Package System, Inc., which is a provider of small-package ground delivery services; FedEx Freight Corporation, which is a provider of less-than-truckload freight services; and FedEx Corporate Services, Inc., which provides sales, marketing, information technology, communications, customer service, technical support, billing and collections services, and certain back-office functions.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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