GRBK - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 04 23
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK:USA) is currently trading below recent average valuations relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 9.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is expecting Uniform ROA to decline from 8% in 2016 to below cost-of capital levels of 4% through 2021, representing a reversal in recent improvementsSpecifically, the market appears to expect the firm to be unable to maintain their growth rates in Dallas and Atlanta, and also appears to lack confidence in the firm's recent expansion into the Denver/Colorado Springs area. Additionally, the market may be concerned about the sustainability of EBIT margin improvements going forward
Green Brick Partners is a homebuilding and land development company. The company acquires and develops land, provides land and construction financing to its controlled builders and participates in the profits of its builders. The company is engaged in homebuilding process, including land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, title and mortgage services, marketing and sales and the creation of brand images at its residential neighborhoods and communities. The company sells finished lots to its controlled builders or option lots from third-party developers for its controlled builders' homebuilding operations and provides them with construction financing and strategic planning.
In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:
- GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
- Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
- Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
- Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available
We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.
- Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
- Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
- Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
- The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming
The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.