Report
Valens Research

Valens Equity Weekly Insights - 2024 01 30

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) is positioned to survive and thrive post-pandemic, and it's starting to show signs that it is executing on its long-term transformational goals. Uniform Accounting confirms that the market is not pricing in the full force of this transformation, suggesting equity upside continues to be warranted

Before the pandemic, Hyatt began transforming its business model to focus on a franchise model, similar to what hotel giants Hilton and Marriott have already done. The pandemic has made Hyatt's transformation harder to see, but the company's well capitalized balance sheet has allowed it to survive and strengthen its position exiting the pandemic. As it continues executing on its franchise strategy, the company has the ability to accelerate Uniform ROA far higher than the market is pricing in

Hyatt's management is closely aligned to focus on growth and improving profitability, two key drivers for upside

Management confidence about the recovery of the hotel industry and growth of its ALG properties suggest further reason for ROA expansion

H
Underlying
Hyatt Hotels Corporation Class A

Hyatt Hotels is a hospitality company engaged in the development, ownership, operation, management, franchising, licensing or provision of services to a portfolio of properties, consisting of full service hotels, select service hotels, resorts, and other properties, including spas and fitness studios, timeshare, fractional, and other forms of residential and vacation properties. The company also manages, provides services to, or licenses its trademarks with respect to residential ownership units that are often adjacent to a Hyatt-branded hotel. Additionally, for condominium ownership units, the company provides services and/or manage the rental programs or homeowner associations associated with such units.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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