Report
Valens Research

HTZ - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 05 02

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ:USA) currently trades near historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 20.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has muted expectations for the firm, and management is concerned about revenue growth, debt maturities, and car acquisitions.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain revenue and RAC business growth, and may be exaggerating the discipline of their fleet management. Moreover, they may be downplaying their concerns about debt maturities and competition in the auto leasing market. Finally, they may be concerned about their car acquisition execution, and the impact of operating leases on their balance sheet.
Underlying
Hertz Global Holdings Inc.

Hertz Global Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company operates its vehicle rental business through the Hertz, Dollar and Thrifty brands in North America, Europe, Latin America, Africa, Asia, Australia, the Caribbean, the Middle East and New Zealand. The company is also a provider of integrated vehicle leasing and fleet management solutions. The company's segments are: U.S. RAC, which operates rental of vehicles, as well as sales of services, in the U.S.; International RAC, which operates rental and leasing of vehicles, as well as sales of services, internationally; and All Other Operations, which provides integrated vehicle leasing and fleet management solutions in the U.S. and Canada.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch